This paper investigates the pro-cyclical relationship between business cycles and Lifespan Inequality, specifically focusing on the causal effect of the 2008 Great Recession on this measure across 26 European countries. To the best of our knowledge, the research is the first to prioritize economic crises as a key determinant in assessing life expectancy disparities. The study employed a Difference in Differences methodology, categorizing countries into treatment and control groups based on their exposure to the Great Recession, measured through variations in unemployment rates. This analysis revealed a significant, beneficial effect of the Great Recession on Lifespan Inequality for approximately three years, signifying a reduction in lifespan disparities and suggesting potential health benefits in affected countries (in line with the so-called Thomas Effect). The manifestation of this effect aligns congruently with the intensity of the crisis endured by individual countries.

The great recession and lifespan inequality: causal insights from the European laboratory / Carboni, G., Salinari, G., Zarulli, V., Benassi, F.. - In: QUALITY AND QUANTITY. - ISSN 1573-7845. - (2026), pp. 1-18. [10.1007/s11135-026-03080-7]

The great recession and lifespan inequality: causal insights from the European laboratory

Federico Benassi
2026

Abstract

This paper investigates the pro-cyclical relationship between business cycles and Lifespan Inequality, specifically focusing on the causal effect of the 2008 Great Recession on this measure across 26 European countries. To the best of our knowledge, the research is the first to prioritize economic crises as a key determinant in assessing life expectancy disparities. The study employed a Difference in Differences methodology, categorizing countries into treatment and control groups based on their exposure to the Great Recession, measured through variations in unemployment rates. This analysis revealed a significant, beneficial effect of the Great Recession on Lifespan Inequality for approximately three years, signifying a reduction in lifespan disparities and suggesting potential health benefits in affected countries (in line with the so-called Thomas Effect). The manifestation of this effect aligns congruently with the intensity of the crisis endured by individual countries.
2026
The great recession and lifespan inequality: causal insights from the European laboratory / Carboni, G., Salinari, G., Zarulli, V., Benassi, F.. - In: QUALITY AND QUANTITY. - ISSN 1573-7845. - (2026), pp. 1-18. [10.1007/s11135-026-03080-7]
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11588/1063517
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